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Notre Dame (8-4) vs Florida State (8-4) When: Thursday, December 29th, 2011 Where: Citrus Bowl Stadium, Orlando, FL Time: 5:30 ET TV: ESPN

The point spread for this year's Champs Sports Bowl between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Florida State Seminoles opened up at -1.5 on December 5th in favor of the 'Noles BetOnline Sportsbook. As of Monday afternoon (12/19), the line has moved up to 3. The total opened up at 45 and has gone up to 47. Right now, 65% of the betting public is on Florida State and 54% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Fighting Irish are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.

Seminoles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games.

Seminoles are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

Under is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games as an underdog.

Under is 11-3 in Fighting Irish last 14 vs. ACC.

Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games on grass.

My Prediction: This one is pretty simple. Florida State is 2nd in the Nation against the run, so that will force the Irish to rely on a poor passing game. Notre Dame is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Bowl games while Florida State is 6-0-1 in their last 7 Bowl games. Take the 'Noles

Florida State -3

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