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South Florida (4-0, 0-0) at Pittsburgh (2-2, 0-0) When: Thursday, September 29th, 2011 Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA Time: 8:00 ET TV: ESPN

The point spread for Thursday Night's Big East ESPN game between the South Florida Bulls and Pittsburgh Panthers opened up at -3 on Monday afternoon in favor of South Florida at Bodog Sportsbook. The line has been bet down to -2 as of Tuesday afternoon. Bodog hasn't released a total, but most books have it set at 52. Right now, 58% of the betting public are on the Bulls. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Panthers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Over is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

My Prediction: South Florida will be looking for revenge in Pittsburgh after losing at home to the Panthers last year. The Bulls are off to a good start this year winning 4 straight including an opening season win at Notre Dame. Pitt is coming off a home loss to the Irish and have not really looked good in any of their games this year. The Bulls and QB B.J. Daniels are for real and I think they handle Pitt easily tonight.

South Florida -2

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