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USC (4-1, 2-1) at California (3-2, 1-2) When: Thursday, October 13th, 2011 Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco, CA Time: 9:00 ET TV: ESPN

The point spread for Thursday Night's ESPN Pac 12 game between the USC Trojans and California Golden Bears opened up at -3 in favor of the Trojans at Bodog Sportsbook on Monday afternoon. The line has moved to 3.5 as of Wednesday afternoon. Bodog hasn't released a total, but most books have it set at 58.5. Right now, 62% of the betting public are on the Trojans. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.

Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.

Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.

Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games as a home underdog.

Under is 4-1 in Golden Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in California.

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in California.

My Prediction: USC looks to keep pace with Arizona State in the Pac-12 South, while California is just trying to get back on the winning track after losing 2 straight. The Trojans are playing only their 2nd road game of the year. They lost at Arizona State 43-22 on September 24th. This will be Cal's first conference home game even though they are playing across the Bay in San Francisco. I don't like the quality of USC's wins so far this year and I think they are prime for an upset here.

California +3.5

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